The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has concluded its consultation with the Marshall Islands on developing a tax system that will secure the territory’s fiscal sustainability after the US Compact Agreement, which provides the island’s government with financial support, expires in 2024.
A comprehensive tax reform program is needed to secure long-term fiscal sustainability and encourage growth in the private sector, the IMF report states. The reform of the territory's tax system will allow the government to gain additional revenues whilst improving the fairness of its tax regime.
The island's budget surplus will be deposited into the Compact Trust Fund (CTF). Income derived from the trust fund will replace the financial support currently received annually from the US government agreement. The mission projects that, in order to accumulate adequate funding in the CTF, the government will have to progressively build up a fiscal surplus of USD9m per year by 2014 (5% of GDP). This surplus would need to be maintained until 2023 and the savings placed into the CTF. The cumulative savings would generate a large enough asset base to close the projected revenue gap in 2024.
Under the current system, it is anticipated that the Marshall Islands will post a budgetary deficit of USD0.2m in 2009, roughly unchanged from 2008.
In discussions with the IMF, the Marshall Islands government has recognized the need for reform and has undertaken important steps to identify necessary policy measures. Two reform commissions, the Comprehensive Adjustment Program (CAP) group, tasked with identifying expenditure reforms, and the Tax and Revenue Reform and Modernization Commission (TRRMC), have prepared draft reports for the government.
On tax reform – the major segment of the necessary reforms – the IMF has observed that the current system has little potential for the generation of additional revenues. “The annual revenue yield of 18% of GDP is much below economies which have introduced more internationally accepted tax regimes (26% of GDP in Samoa and Tonga in 2007). The lower revenue yield potential is the result of the outdated tax system design and low compliance," the Fund observed.
The IMF statement continued:
“[To this end] the tax system should be modernized to increase revenues and enhance efficiency. The existing tax system lacks the ability to raise additional revenue, fails to encourage private investment, and is inequitable. The gross revenue tax (GRT) taxes exports and has a cascading effect. There is a proliferation of small taxes complicating tax administration, and many sources of income are exempt, generating inequity.”
“A comprehensive tax reform program should be adopted. The TRRMC’s proposal should lay the foundation for a modern tax system. The mission recommends that the government adopt a [Pacific Financial Technical Assistance Center]-based proposal guided by two principles: (i) the proposal should be accepted as a uniform package, and (ii) tax rates and thresholds should be chosen to generate additional revenue. Given the amount of preparatory work and time required for implementation (up to 36 months), the mission recommends that new legislation be passed swiftly.”
The reform strategy, agreed by both parties, is centered around four basic changes aimed at raising efficiency, removing distortions, and raising revenue whilst attempting to keep rates low:
Concluding, the report also advocated improvements to the tax administration system in place in the country. “Enforcement has been stepped up, but improved capabilities are needed to support the tax reform. Improved audit activities at the social security administration have led to a sizeable reduction in unpaid contributions and improved compliance. Since there are significant gains from harmonizing collection processes and information sharing, the mission supports the establishment of a unified revenue administration as part of the proposed tax reform.”
In the coming year, the IMF estimates the Marshall Islands’ economy will grow by 0.5%. It anticipates that revenues will fall as a result of falling economy activity, but, according to the Fund, this will be largely offset by increased fees from its shipping registry.
The mission has welcomed the government’s commitment to transferring USD2m to the CTF in 2010, but has warned that achieving this goal will be challenging.
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