Canada can achieve deep greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reductions by 2050, but only by putting a price on carbon emissions throughout the entire Canadian economy beginning as soon as possible, the National Round Table on the Environment and the Economy (NRTEE) stated in a new climate change report released this week, entitled 'Getting to 2050: Canada’s Transition to a Low-emission Future'.
At the request of the Minister of the Environment, the NRTEE explored potential scenarios for how Canada could achieve deep, long-term GHG emission reduction targets (20% by 2020 and 60% to 70% by 2050 from current levels), as well as air pollutants reduction targets (50% and 80% by 2050).
The report sets out a framework for how Canada can transition to a low-emission future and achieve these long-term emission reductions.
The central recommendation of the report is to establish an economy-wide price signal for carbon emissions as soon as possible.
The NRTEE research shows that the most effective and efficient policy that would result in deep GHG emission reductions is a market-based policy, such as an emissions tax, a cap-and-trade system, or a combination of the two.
In order to achieve the deep emission reduction target, this policy would need to be complemented by other sector-specific regulatory measures to force emission reductions from those parts of the economy that do not respond to a price signal.
"Our analysis shows that putting a price on emissions is the most effective tool to achieve deep GHG reductions over the long-term" explained NRTEE Chair Glen Murray, continuing:"An early and clear price signal is needed to influence the investment decisions by industry in the technology and innovation required to achieve deep reductions and also to influence consumer decisions and behaviour."
The NRTEE report sets out five important "enabling conditions" that should be reflected in Canada’s long-term climate change policy framework. These are:
The Round Table’s analysis concludes that the government’s medium and long-term targets are achievable with the equivalent impact on Canada’s GDP of 1 to 2 "years of lost GDP" over the 44-year period from 2006 to 2050.
"Delaying action comes with unnecessarily high economic and environmental risk," stated Murray.
"Our research shows that a faster, deeper pathway to achieve the government’s long-term GHG reduction targets of 20% by 2020 and 65% by 2050, has the least overall economic impact in the long-run, and better environmental outcomes resulting in the equivalent of 5 years of no GHG emissions into the atmosphere over this period as we meet our targets."
The NRTEE has called for the establishment of a Canada-wide plan as soon as possible in order to improve coordination of federal, provincial and territorial GHG emission reduction policies.
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