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Bahamas' Growth Figures May Have Been Underestimated

by Amanda Banks, Tax-News.com, London

28 June 2004

Bahamas Minister of State for Finance Senator James Smith last week revealed that the country’s gross domestic product may for many years have been miscalculated, which could be responsible for a possible underestimation of the nation's economic growth.

Mr. Smith told the Senate debate on the 2004/2005 budget that the fact had come to light through a recent International Monetary Fund technical assistance mission to the jurisdiction.

As a consequence, Senator Smith pointed out that the error could have a knock on effect on a number of other important economic statistics including the government deficit and debt ratios, which in reality could be much lower than reported.

However, on the downside Smith cautioned that an upward revision of GDP data could mean that revenues as a proportion of GDP may be “far lower” than originally thought, leading to “increased urgency for strengthening revenue performance.”

Senator Smith indicated that the government will soon begin to produce the country’s economic figures, moving away from IMF statistical models.

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