Harold Lovell, Antigua and Barbuda’s Finance Minister, has announced details of the 2010 budget, which attempts to consolidate public finances in the midst of a projected economic contraction of 6.7%.
He observed that: “The year 2008 was an extremely challenging year. We saw unprecedented increases in the international price of oil, an escalation in the prices of basic food items and raw materials, a meltdown in the major financial markets, massive job losses in many industrial economies, and a slowdown in economic growth that many pundits compare to the Great Depression of the 1930s.”
Antigua and Barbuda is expected to experience one of the most severe recessions in the Organization of Eastern Caribbean States (OECS) sub-region as a result of the financial crisis despite the resilience of its financial sector.
All OECS territories, except Dominica, are forecasted to contract. Anguilla's economy is estimated to contract 22%, St Kitts and Nevis 8.5%, Grenada 5%, St Lucia 3.8% and St Vincent and the Grenadines, 0.2%.
Lovell continued: “It is undeniable that for well over thirty years, the Government of Antigua and Barbuda has been experiencing fiscal challenges."
"Data on the fiscal performance of Antigua and Barbuda from 1973 to 2008 show that over a 35-year period not once did the government record an overall surplus. Thirty five years where total expenditure outstripped total revenue on an annual basis. The laws of mathematics have held true for centuries and they continue to hold true when analysing the economy of Antigua and Barbuda.”
Vowing to consolidate the budget, Lovell announced that: “Total expenditure must be equal to total revenue plus net borrowings. This is the same equation we must confront on an annual basis as we go through the budget process. The problem with Antigua and Barbuda is that for the better part of three decades this basic principle of arithmetic was ignored.”
On the expenditure side, Lovell observed that expenditure on wages and salaries consumes more than 45% of current revenue.
“This level of expenditure on wages and salaries is unsustainable and any meaningful fiscal adjustment must address this issue. With respect to wages and salaries we have proposed a 20% reduction over the next three years. This amounts to a reduction of about XCD40m (USD15m) over the period,” he explained.
Lovell has announced that government spending will be tackled in the following way:
On the tax front the government plans to increase the tax take by 5% from 20% of GDP currently to 25%. The main measures proposed include:
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