The nine-member Organisation of Eastern Caribbean States is currently at an
"economic crossroads", but with new action, the sub-regional grouping
could successfully position itself to compete in an increasingly globalised
economy, according to a new report by the World Bank.
The report, entitled 'Towards a New Agenda for Growth' highlights the significant
benefits that could accrue to the region if steps are taken to address the recent
slowdown in growth and mounting debt and fiscal imbalances. However, without
action, the study warns that the OECS "risks eroding many of the social
gains won over the last three decades". The OECS membership comprises Antigua
and Barbuda, Dominica, Grenada, St Lucia, St Vincent and the Grenadines, Montserrat,
St Kitts-Nevis, Anguilla and the British Virgin Islands.
The new report, a companion to the Caribbean-wide study 'A Time to Choose', seeks
to identify the causes of the slowdown in growth and offers possible options
to reverse the trend. In the 1980s, the OECS sub-region experienced a relatively
strong decade of growth estimated at 5.9% per year, driven mainly by tourism
and banana exports. But growth in the OECS has been slowing down since the early
1990s as a result of a decline in productivity growth and a contraction of private
investment. Similarly, the six independent OECS countries rank among the top
16 most highly indebted emerging economies in the world.
The OECS has been extremely competitive in attracting foreign investment (FDI),
with relatively stable flows as a share of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) over
the last two decades. The average ranking of the OECS as a whole on the UNCTAD
(United Nations Conference on Trade and DEvelopment) FDI performance index in
2002 was 20th out of 177 countries.
In contrast, the study finds that the top ten exports from the sub-region are
primary commodities with limited value-added and argues that this structure
of production and exports has resulted from a reliance on special and differential
treatment that has not served the region well over the long term.
"The states that comprise the OECS have considerable potential, but to
realize it they must define a new development path and develop the skills, services
and technology to leverage their natural advantages of language, proximity to
the large US market, stable democracy and the environment," noted Caroline
Anstey, World Bank Country Director for the Caribbean.
"Greater regional cooperation, will also be critical to boosting growth
and competitiveness both nationally and regionally," she added.
Citing the case of the sub-region's key export, tourism, which has lost market
share within the Caribbean and worldwide, the study stated that the outlook for
the OECS in the global economy need not be a pessimistic one, and cited the success
of other small states which have successfully integrated into the global economy.
"Improving the business environment implies tough choices for the governments
of the sub-region," says senior economist and the report's principal author,
Camille Nuamah.
"This report does not offer a silver bullet for growth but does suggest
strategic agenda for both governments and the private sector to consider if
they are to improve their capacity to compete globally."
The study suggests the formulation of a strategic sub-regional vision for the
economy and key sectors as well as the pursuit of greater openness, competition
and a more level playing field in the domestic market.