Still trying to find a magic recipe for tax change that will boost the economy
without costing an arm and a leg in terms of revenues, the White House is revisiting
a proposal to reduce dividend taxation that was current in the summer. In the
US, corporate dividends are paid post-tax, and carry no tax credit, meaning
that they are taxed again in the hands of recipients.
Economists have long argued that this double taxation distorts investment,
depresses the stock market and increases the cost of capital. Democrats will
say that any reduction in dividend tax is elitist, but with Republican control
of both houses of Congress the administration is less obliged to placate Democratic
swing voters than it used to be.
"In terms of bang for the buck [dividend-tax reduction] is really the
biggest," said White House economic adviser Glenn Hubbard. The cost of
a reduction is estimated at up to $25 billion a year, but much of this might
be recouped through increased tax payments on stock gains and corporate profits.
Democrats favour a proposal to suspend payroll taxes for the coming year. White
House spokesman Ari Fleischer criticized the idea because it would diminish
funds earmarked for Social Security. Mr. Hubbard also rubbished it as a "temporary
tax change" which wouldn't fundamentally boost long-term economic growth.
"The notion of a one-shot check having much of an effect is pretty far-fetched,"
he said.
While Lawrence Lindsey, head of the White House's National Economic Council,
seemingly supports investor tax breaks, Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill has
doubts about a dividend-tax cut, thinking that other tax breaks might be more
effective in stimulating economic growth quickly.
Any dividend-tax break would be included in a broader tax package, which also
is likely to include an acceleration of cuts included in Mr. Bush's original
$1.35 trillion 10-year package.