An unexpected windfall in tax revenues brought about by the recent one-off
tax amnesty and rising value added tax receipts have helped the Cypriot government
reduce its budget deficit at a faster rate than first envisaged, smoothing the
path towards adoption of the euro.
A finance ministry official has revealed
that Cyprus's budget deficit forecast for 2005 has been revised down to 2.5%
of gross domestic product from an initial forecast of 2.9%. By 2006, the government
expects the budget deficit to have fallen further still, to 1.7.%, provided
that cost cutting measures are seen through.
European Union member states which adopt the euro must ensure that their budget
deficits do not exceed 3% of GDP. Cyprus became a member of the EU in May 2004
and is hoping to join the eurozone by 2008.
The faster-than-expected reduction in the budget deficit has been brought about
mostly by higher tax receipts, which were up by 8.7% in the first 10 months
of the year to £504.9 million. Increasing VAT receipts accounted for a
substantial proportion of these tax revenues, while tax revenue figures released
last month also showed that higher activity by offshore companies contributed
to a 16.5% increase corporate tax receipts in the year to the end of September.
However, the recent tax amnesty, which concluded earlier in the year, has also
helped to put black ink in the government's books, bringing in an additional
CYP119 million in revenues from a total of CYP2.5 billion in declarations.
Those coming forward under the first phase of the amnesty scheme, which lasted
until January 31 2005, faced a tax of 5% on their newly declared income. This
tax rate increased to 6.5% in the second phase, which lasted until the end of
February.
According to the finance ministry official, these additional revenues helped
to wipe 1% off the budget deficit this year. However, he also pointed out
that this is a one-off bonus for the government, masking the structural nature
of the deficit, which remains at 3.5% of GDP when the amnesty cash is factored
out of the figures.