Speaking in Hong Kong to the Asia Society, hedge fund operator George
Soros, famous for driving the pound out of the Exchange Rate Mechanism
in 1992 by using the leverage of his funds, yesterday added his voice
to the roster of those who oppose the use of a Tobin tax to raise money
for developing countries.
The Tobin tax, named after Professor James Tobin of Yale University,
who proposed it in the seventies, would apply a minute percentage levy
to all foreign exchange transactions, with the idea of damping down currency
speculation. It was recently resurrected by French prime minister Lionel
Jospin to the great delight of the anti-globalisation movement, and even
formally discussed at high level in the EU; but a series of politicians
and economists, even including Professor Tobin himself, have said that
it is unworkable in the modern, liberalised world economy.
George Soros argues that there are too many problems about whether to
tax derivatives, how to collect the tax, whether collection should include
tax havens and whether to enforce the tax. This has also been the position
of the British government. He adds that reducing currency speculation
might increase volatility in the currency markets by giving increased
weight to large mergers and acquisitions. Further, he suggests that, if
the concept of a Tobin tax is designed to redress the favoured position
enjoyed by global financial capital vis-a-vis other sources of capital,
the tax ought to be applied to all financial transactions.
As an alternative, Mr Soros suggests that developed countries should
authorise the issuance of special drawing rights, which would be apportioned
to developing countries depending, among other things, on how well their
governments behaved. Would he perhaps like to be on the panel that decides
what constitutes 'good behaviour', which is probably even more difficult
to define than bad behaviour?
Many EU politicians have seized upon the renewed interest in the Tobin
tax as a stick with which to beat speculators in general and hedge funds
in particular, arguing for increased controls on the ability of hedge
funds to take aggressive market positions. Mr Soros would no doubt say
that this would have exactly the opposite effect to what is intended.
'Come on, make my day!' would be the answer of the offshore fund managers
whose profits would grow in direct proportion to the level of EU controls.