Fund management firm, New Star International this week unveiled its market
predictions for 2004.
Speaking with regard to the UK market, Tim Bray, manager of the New Star UK
Dynamic Fund observed that:
"The market still has momentum and positive economic statistics could
yet give strength to cyclical and technology stocks. Companies have also restructured
so profits should improve. This should enable the corporate sector to take some
of the pressure off the consumer and public sector in driving the economy forward."
"More defensive stocks are, however, likely to find favour again later
in 2004 as the market's more cyclical areas begin to look fully valued."
For the rest of Europe, meanwhile, New Star suggested that cyclical and technology
stock valuations look too high, and that the best value may be found in companies
which performed well in both good and bad times.
The fund manager also predicted that the outlook for Japanese equities is healthy
in 2004, and that emerging markets generally face another good year.
Brian Coffey, manager of the New Star Global Emerging Markets Fund suggested
that:
"Despite a 50% dollar gain in 2003 the relative valuations for Emerging
Markets remain attractive as earnings growth expectations leave forward valuations
at a significant discount to developed markets."