While many areas of Europe popular with second home buyers could see property
prices fall by as much as 10% over the coming year, property markets in the
low-tax countries of Andorra and Monaco are likely to continue to remain buoyant
in 2006, according to overseas property specialist Tribune Properties.
This year has seen the first signs of the property market slowing in the traditionally
popular holiday home markets of Spain and Portugal, and with owners expected
to drop asking prices in order to secure a sale, Tribune Properties believes
buyers will be in their strongest negotiating position since the mid 1980s when
property prices on the Spanish Costas dropped by almost one third.
Moreover, the worst drought in living memory in the region has put off many
prospective buyers and cast uncertainty over the viability of the rental market.
"Some buyers rely on renting their holiday home out as they take out a
mortgage to buy," noted Roger Munns, Managing Directir of Tribune Properties,
"and if they can’t rely on this it creates doubt as to whether to
buy or not. Some buyers were taking the view that they should wait to see what
happens."
Demand for property in Iberia has also been curtailed by the emergence of new
European markets in the former Eastern Bloc such as Bulgaria, where increasing
numbers of British, Dutch, Belgian and German buyers have been snapping up apartments
and houses at a fraction of the prices in Spain and Portugal.
"Second home buyers are seeing properties offered in Bulgaria at less
than half the price they thought they would need to own a home overseas, and
the traditional markets of Spain and Portugal are losing out," observed
Mr Munns.
In contrast to lower prices on the Spanish Costas and Menorca, Tribune forecast
that prices on the Algarve and Malta are likely to stay steady or increase as
their domestic markets are strong.
However, the two countries they see in Europe with growth potential for 2006
are Andorra and Monaco. Andorra has seen double digit property price inflation
for the last two years, with the 2005 figures likely to match. Meanwhile, after
a slow start to the year, Monaco has seen strong buying in the last quarter.
The fact that these small countries have very little room for new developments
is likely to ensure that demand for property will remain well ahead of supply.
Furthermore, both Andorra and Monaco offer zero rates of income tax for residents,
a factor which Mr Munn believes will attract many new buyers from Germany, where
the top rate of income tax is being increased.
"Despite the German economy being slow for the last few years it remains
a very important market. The raising of the top level of tax will mean more
Germans seeking residency in a country with low tax levels. Andorra and Monaco
are the two most likely candidates for them to buy in and take residency,"
Mr Munn observed.
Tribune offered the following advice to potential overseas property buyers:
- Find out how long a property has been on the market for;
- Make provisional offers of between 5% and 10% off of the asking price on
a shortlist of three or four properties as one owner is likely to accept; and
- Always employ an independent lawyer to handle any sale and deposits.