As trade officials in Geneva begin a final 48-hour-long push today to
clear the last hurdles to China's entry into the World Trade Organisation,
the Hong Kong General Chamber of Commerce heard that accession presented
a major opportunity for SAR banks.
Last minute problems over access for life insurance companies were expected
to be resolved today, allowing WTO members to approve the complex legal
protocols setting out China's rights and obligations as a member of the
trade body, bringing to a close China's 15-year campaign to join the organisation.
In Hong Kong, chief economist for Standard Chartered Bank K C Kwok told
the Chamber of Commerce meeting that foreign banks would aim to dramatically
transform their business mix on the mainland - now dominated by corporate
banking - by branching into consumer financial services. Entry to the
WTO would advance this objective, but banks would need to exercise great
patience as implementation details were released by the People's Bank
of China and strategic alliances were forged to help enter the local market,
Mr Kwok said.
Banking is just one of the financial sectors in which new opportunities
should open up for Hong Kong's skilled business establishment, with its
low-tax regime an irresistible magnet for holding companies and financial
services providers.
Equity brokerages will not be the least of these. Laura Cha Shih May-lung,
vice-chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, was reported
yesterday as saying foreigners could invest in Chinese brokerages in 2004,
and would be allowed to invest directly in the domestic markets in five
years. This is also a consequence of WTO entry. The foreign investment
administration of the Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic Co-operation
said in July said a foreign-invested joint-stock limited company which
met requirements would be allowed to issue A or B shares domestically.
Foreign investors are eager to participate directly in China's vibrant
A-share markets which have price-earning ratios of 40 to 50 but are restricted
to local investors; currently they are allowed to invest only in the less
liquid B-share markets in the mainland or in H shares in Hong Kong.