Faced with projected
GDP growth for the current year of a startling 8.6%,
inflation which has nearly doubled in the last year
to reach 6.8%, and a boom in tax revenues which has
stimulated demands from all sides for giveaways which
he dare not finance, Ireland's Finance Minister Charlie
McCreevy had a hard task yesterday in presenting a
budget which would not disappoint too many people.
He seems to have done
the trick, because only some people have criticised
him, and not too heavily.
Tax revenues are forecast
to increase by 12% next year (a really unprecedented
jump in any industrialised country), growth will be
held back to (only!) 6%, and inflation will fall to
4.5%. The increased tax take will finance 6.5% higher
public spending but in part will serve to dampen consumption
since it won't all be spent.
With his eyes fixed on
a possible general election next year, Mr McCreevy
has spent £2bn, reducing income tax rates by
two full points to 20% and 42%, unveiling the most
substantial child benefit package in the State's history,
and holding back the pace of tax 'individualisation'
- allowing fiscal drift to deliver him some stealthy
extra tax revenues instead.
But employers criticised
the heavy burden of PRSI (social insurance), which
will no longer be capped at a salary of £36.500.
From April 6th, they will have to pay PRSI on the
full salaries of their employees, costing them an
extra £159m in the year. Mr McCreevy also introduced
anti-inflation measures including a 1% VAT cut to
20% and fuel tax reductions, moved to resolve problems
such as the taxation of credit unions, and delivered
a major package of benefits for pensioners. The fuel
duty cut further widened the big gap between fuel
prices in Ireland and the UK. From tomorrow, people
in Northern Ireland will be able to cross the border
to the south and save 12 pence per litre on purchases
of either diesel or unleaded petrol.
Michael Noonan, spokesman
for the conservative Fine Gael opposition, attacked
the budget, claiming it was "over-stimulating
an economy that is running at full tilt." He
described the high spending as "a booby trap
that will blow the economy into the air".