Investment bank ING Barings is urging investors
in Asia to change their investment strategy in favour of 'pro-growth'
stocks and stay clear of defensive and value-driven sectors such as utilities.
In particular the bank is advising investors to increase their holdings
of companies such as Hutchison Whampoa, HSBC Holdings and TVB and move
out of companies such as Swire and Cheung Kong Holdings.
It is also advising investors to purchase
more cyclical stock in the technology sector such as Samsung Electronics,
NCsoft and the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp.
'Utilities have done their bit for our portfolio.
They have given us relative outperformance and paid handsome dividends,'
said ING Barings chief strategist, Markus Rosgen. 'Avoiding the growth
sector appears to have been the right strategy to date, but will it be
thus going forward? We believe not.'
According to the bank utility stocks have outperformed by 75 per cent
since early last year and financials have outperformed by 57 per cent. ING
Barings says its analysis has shown that relative to cyclical stocks,
defensive sectors are now pushing through the upper boundaries of their
trading ranges and when the global economy begins to pick up - which will
be in the first half of 2002 predicts ING Barings - pro-growth stocks
should outperform defensives and telecoms.
In addition, said Mr Rosgen, growth stocks
are currently very cheap and are trading at levels equivalent to previous
periods of extreme pessisism in stock markets. In the last 27 years, the
Asian stock markets (which are now priced at one times book value) have
only ever been this cheap for a total of 157 days, which is a mere 1.5
per cent of the time.
ING Barings also says that the market is
ripe for more upgrades in the technology sector which has recently seen
substantial declines and claims that liquidity is on the increase as governments
in the US and Europe have injected large amounts of cash into the system
while simultaneously implementing fiscal and monetary initiatives to stimulate
economic demand.