An International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff mission led by Mr. Dominique Desruelle,
Division Chief for Central America on Monday issued the following statement in
San Jose:
"An IMF mission visited San José during February 13-16, 2007 to
review macroeconomic developments and ongoing reform efforts. The mission met
with the Minister of the Presidency Rodrigo Arias, Central Bank Governor Francisco
de Paula Gutiérrez, Finance Minister Guillermo Zúñiga,
Financial Sector Superintendent Oscar Rodríguez, President of the Congressional
Finance Committee Silvia Charpentier, and other officials. The mission thanks
the authorities for their hospitality and fruitful and open discussions."
"Supported by a favorable global environment and the pursuit of sound
macroecononomic policies, Costa Rica's economic performance continued to be
strong in 2006. With economic growth reaching close to 8 percent, the country
was among the top performers in the region. Furthermore, inflation fell below
10 percent for the first time in three years, the public sector deficit declined
further, and the current account deficit remained broadly unchanged."
"The near-term outlook is favorable. Against the backdrop of a slight
slowdown in global activity and lower oil prices, growth is expected to moderate
somewhat while inflation would fall further. The external current account deficit,
which may widen marginally, would be fully financed by foreign direct investment
and other private capital flows. The main risks to this positive outlook are
delays in key reforms, which could adversely affect confidence, or a sharper-than-expected
slowdown of the US economy."
"The mission concurred with the priority placed on seeking ratification
of the Central America-Dominican Republic-United States Free Trade Agreement
(CAFTA-DR). At the same time, while noting the strong revenue performance in
2006, the mission reiterated that passage of a comprehensive tax reform remains
critical. Such a reform would be the foundation for a sustained increase in
social and capital spending and a lasting improvement in the country's debt
dynamics. To support monetary policy, it will be important to avoid any fiscal
slippages in 2007."
"The mission agreed with the authorities on the merit of seeking a double
taxation treaty with the United States in partnership with other countries of
the region, and of identifying areas where further fiscal coordination might
be warranted, including in the context of the planned Central American Customs
Union. These steps would strengthen the climate for investment in Costa Rica
and avoid a further erosion of the tax base."
"The central bank's recent modification to the exchange rate band is a
welcome further step in achieving greater exchange rate flexibility, which will
facilitate a permanent reduction in inflation and make the economy more resilient
to shocks. The mission encouraged the authorities to move expeditiously toward
the recapitalization of the central bank, and discussed possible avenues to
enhance the effectiveness of monetary policy instruments."
"The mission agreed with the authorities about the need to press forward
with their plans to further strengthen financial sector supervision and regulation.
In particular, it encouraged the authorities to expedite passage of legislation
to bolster supervision of off-shore banking activities."
"The IMF will maintain a close policy dialogue with the authorities in
the period ahead. The next Article IV consultation is expected to take place
in the second half of 2007."
Rodrigo de Rato, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund also
visited Costa Rica earlier this month, where he participated in the High-Level
Conference on Investment in Central America.