The St Kitts and Nevis government said last week that the IMF has reported favourably
on the Federation's economy. Despite the closure of the sugar industry, economic
growth accelerated in 2006, fiscal imbalances have improved significantly and
monetary aggregates have continued to grow in line with economic growth.
The report followed an IMF Article IV consultation on St. Kitts and Nevis.
It noted that in July 2005, the sugar industry - the historical mainstay of
the economy - closed after more than 300 years. The IMF said despite the closure
of the sugar industry, economic growth has accelerated.
“In 2006, the economy is estimated to have recorded its third consecutive
year of strong growth, projected at 4½ percent in 2006, with good prospects
for 2007 due to the combination of ongoing construction projects and activity
related to the Cricket World Cup,” said the Report.
It added that while the current account deficit remains large (at 25 percent
of GDP in 2005), it has been mainly financed by foreign direct investment, and
competitiveness appears to be improving - partly owing to the depreciation of
the U.S. dollar against major currencies.
“The central government primary surplus is estimated at 6 percent of
GDP in 2006, a significant turnaround from the small primary deficit recorded
in 2004. Policy adjustments include increasing revenue effort based on administrative
reforms that enhanced compliance and containing non-interest expenditures,”
said the Report.
It said that despite the fiscal adjustment, public sector debt remains at a
very high level and while the central government accounts have strengthened
significantly, public enterprises are contracting significant debt. “The
large gross financing needs of the government have been met by increased reliance
on domestic financing sources,” said the Report.
The IMF noted that monetary aggregates in St. Kitts and Nevis have continued
to grow in line with economic growth. Private credit has rebounded, rising by
about 8 percent in 2005, and is projected to increase by more than 10 percent
in 2006.
“The approval of the revisions to the uniform Banking Act has strengthened
the regulatory basis for the banking system. Further progress has also been
made in improving the supervision and the regulation of the Anti-Money Laundering/Combating
the Financing of Terrorism framework to reflect ongoing changes in the financial
system.Executive Board Assessment,” the IMF said.
IMF Directors also welcomed the improvement in economic outcomes and prospects
achieved over the last few years, with recent growth driven largely by tourism
and construction.
“To develop more sustainable sources of growth, Directors recommended
strengthening the business and investment climate and improving competitiveness,
including by enhancing the efficiency and reliability of public utilities,”
said the Article IV statement.
The IMF said the St. Kitts and Nevis Government’s ambitious fiscal consolidation
programme has already resulted in the central government achieving a strong
primary surplus.
“Nevertheless, greater efforts to prioritize and control government expenditure
are needed to sustain the fiscal adjustment and the transparency, accountability,
monitoring, and oversight of public enterprises need to be improved, to ensure
that the central government’s fiscal consolidation is not undermined by
the poor financial performance of public entities,” said the IMF Report.
IMF Directors welcomed the authorities’ commitment to reform the tax
system to improve its efficiency, but emphasised that for the reform to be successful
it will need to be supported by improvements in administrative capacity.
“Even with full implementation of the authorities’ consolidation
strategy, the public debt stock will remain very high for many years. Directors
emphasised the importance of exploring options for a more rapid reduction of
the debt-to-GDP ratio, including by accelerating the pace of asset sales and
strengthening debt management. They stressed that a social consensus in favor
of fiscal consolidation needs to be nurtured and strengthened, even as expenditure
pressures related to population aging grow,” said the IMF.
It added that reducing financial sector risks, including in non-bank financial
institutions, needs to be given high priority.
IMF Directors called for additional progress in making effective the single
regulatory unit and in approving supporting legislation.
IMF directors observed that St. Kitts and Nevis's high vulnerability to natural
disasters and shocks to tourism, highlights the importance of precautionary
measures and contingency planning, welcomed the recent enhancements in the statistical
database, but called for further efforts to improve the reliability and timeliness
of key data, including on tourism, debt, and public enterprises.