The International Monetary Fund has this week released details of its Article
IV Consultation with St Vincent and the Grenadines, concluded earlier this year.
According to the IMF review, economic activity has rebounded in the jurisdiction,
with real GDP growing by over 4% in 2006, and further acceleration expected
in 2007.
The improved performance in 2006 was largely driven by a pick up in construction
and tourism-related services, as well as a rebound in weather-affected agricultural
production.
While prudential indicators of the financial sector and disaster preparedness
have both improved in recent years, vulnerabilities remain, the IMF observed.
The IMF Executive Board announced this week that:
"Directors welcomed signs that growth has accelerated, but stressed that
the challenge remains to develop new sources of growth without compromising
fiscal and debt sustainability. The country's fiscal position is of concern,
and a front-loaded fiscal adjustment is needed to place the debt ratio on a
more sustainable path, increase the scope to address social needs, and enable
the economy to respond to adverse shocks. Directors stressed the importance
of undertaking major infrastructure investments, including in the air transport
sector, only if they are judged viable, and financing them with grants or highly
concessional loans."
"Directors welcomed the improvements in tax policy and administration,
including the...adoption of the VAT. They called for steps to curb tax
concessions and to introduce a flexible retail fuel pricing mechanism to help
maintain revenue buoyancy and ensure that the tax system promotes new investment.
Directors emphasized that, despite the boost in revenues, stricter spending
discipline is needed, through better prioritization of capital spending, limits
on civil service employment, and reform of the social security scheme."
It continued:
"Directors welcomed that the financial sector's vulnerability to adverse
shocks has been reduced. They supported the ongoing efforts to improve the balance
sheet of the state-owned National Commercial Bank and strengthen financial sector
supervision."
"Directors supported the efforts made to bolster national disaster mitigation
and preparedness. They called for further efforts, including in the context
of regional pooling of catastrophe risk insurance."
"Directors considered that the erosion of trade preferences for bananas
is placing considerable pressure on rural households, which increases the importance
of developing a reform program-including well-targeted and temporary safety
nets-to ease the transition away from bananas and elicit donor support. In this
vein, Directors urged donors to accelerate disbursements to the country of promised
aid and grants."
And concluded:
"Directors agreed that data with respect to areas central to surveillance
are adequate. At the same time, they encouraged the authorities to continue
their efforts to improve the coverage, timeliness, and dissemination of statistics,
including with technical assistance support from donors and CARTAC."