The International Monetary Fund recently announced that it had concluded its
Article IV consultation with Grenada.
The consultation found that Grenada's economy has rebounded after the devastating
impact of Hurricanes Ivan and Emily, with the recovery centered on reconstruction
and 2007 Cricket World Cup (CWC) preparations.
Real GDP growth averaged 7% per year during 2005-06, and is projected at about
3% in 2007, and 4% beyond, reflecting a further strengthening of tourism, the
recent initiation of several major tourism projects, and a gradual recovery
of agriculture. Inflation has remained low, buttressed by the regional currency
board arrangement.
It also revealed that solid progress has been made with fiscal measures, including
the introduction of the National Reconstruction Levy, the adoption of an automatic
fuel pricing mechanism, strengthened collection of tax arrears, and work toward
implementing a VAT. Important steps have also been taken to reduce vulnerabilities,
such as participating in the Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility and
taking steps toward giving the Building Code force of law.
However, other structural reforms have suffered delays, including legislative
action to reform the tax concessions regime, creating a one-stop shop for investors,
strengthening the capacity to evaluate and prioritize capital projects, and
modernizing the public sector.
The IMF Executive Board stated that:
"Directors welcomed Grenada's strong economic rebound in the aftermath
of hurricane devastation and the broadly favorable economic prospects, with
major tourism investments under way and the gradual recovery of the agricultural
sector. At the same time, substantial challenges remain, in particular the weak
fiscal position and high debt levels, which erode the room for maneuver in the
event of further external shocks. The debt situation would remain unsustainable
if current fiscal policies were continued. Against that background, Directors
agreed that the authorities' home-grown reform program focuses appropriately
on achieving fiscal and debt sustainability, durable high growth, poverty alleviation,
and the mitigation of vulnerabilities."
"Directors welcomed the steps that have been taken by the authorities
to place Grenada's fiscal position on a more solid footing, including the implementation
of an automatic mechanism for setting fuel prices and a broadly-based National
Reconstruction Levy. They noted, however, that further fiscal consolidation
will be key to placing debt on a sustainable trajectory. Spending restraint
will be needed, including on capital expenditure and the public sector wage
bill. The expected divestment proceeds should be used to pay down expensive
debt, rather than to finance additional budgetary expenditures. Directors called
on the authorities to explore a regional solution to the current counter-productive
tax abatement competition among Caribbean countries."
The Board's assessment continued:
"Directors considered that external competitiveness appears adequate,
with Grenada's share of the regional tourism market increasing. Fiscal consolidation
will help sustain competitiveness and support the regional currency board arrangement."
"Directors commended the authorities for strengthening the financial system's
supervisory framework, as evidenced by the establishment of a single regulatory
agency for nonbank institutions. They supported plans to address regulatory
gaps in the insurance sector and bring all nonbank financial entities under
the regulatory agency's oversight. Directors called on the authorities to bring
the unregulated commercial bank under proper supervision without delay."
"Directors welcomed the efforts being made by the authorities to enhance
the business climate and improve competitiveness, including through the recently
developed national export strategy, the one-stop shop being established for
investors, and other measures to reduce business costs. They encouraged the
authorities to accelerate the implementation of these and other aspects of their
structural reform agenda, including moving ahead with reforms to arrangements
governing tax concession."