The International Monetary Fund revealed last week that it has concluded its
Article IV Review of the Barbadian economy, and plans to publish full details
of the mission in the near future.
The IMF mission, headed by Christina Daseking, Deputy Division Chief in the
IMF's Western Hemisphere Department, issued a statement on Thursday:
"An IMF team visited Bridgetown during the past two weeks to review recent
economic and financial developments and to discuss economic prospects and policies,
as part of its routine annual consultation with Barbados. To this end, the team
met with officials in the Ministries of Finance and Economic Affairs, the Central
Bank of Barbados, other supervisory and regulatory agencies, as well as representatives
of the private sector and the opposition."
"Following solid economic growth in 2006, with a drop in the unemployment
rate to historical lows, prospects for 2007 are favorable. The economy is projected
to grow at some 4 percent in 2007, and inflation is expected to slow to 5½
percent. The external current account deficit, which narrowed considerably since
2004-05, is projected to remain stable at about 8½ percent of GDP."
"The discussions centered on the Prime Minister's recent announcement
to liberalize the country's capital account, initially vis-à-vis other
CARICOM countries. This move marks an important milestone in Barbados' process
of increased regional and global integration, but also requires the support
of strong economic and financial policies."
According to the IMF, the discussions covered three policy areas that both
sides agreed would be critical for a successful liberalization:
- Fiscal consolidation - to reduce external current account imbalances and
high public debt, in order to maintain the scope for an effective policy response
to shocks and uphold the credibility of the dollar peg.
- Market-based monetary policy instruments - to effectively manage domestic
liquidity in a more volatile environment.
- Effective financial sector regulation and supervision - to guard against
excessive exposures to exchange rate risks and cross-border spillovers.
"On its return to Washington D.C., the team will prepare a staff report
that is tentatively scheduled to be discussed by the IMF's Executive Board in
early September," the IMF team's statement concluded.