Official Chinese media have announced that Industrial and Commercial Bank
of China (ICBC) will set a price of HK$2.7-2.8 (35-36 US cents) for its shares
in its upcoming IPO, whose date is confirmed as 27th October. However, the Wall Street Journal reported a much wider price range, between HK$2.56 and 3.07.
As expected, the IPO will take place simultaneously on the Hong Kong and Shanghai
exchanges. There is still uncertainty about the number of shares to be offered,
with estimates for the Shanghai 'A'-share tranche varying between 13 billion
and 17 billion, and the Hong Kong 'H'-share tranche more or less firmly set
at 40 billion shares, assuming that there is adequate over-subscription.
Even at the lower end of estimates, the IPOs will raise a world-record US$19bn,
and the tally might go as high as US$21bn, representing around 16.5% of the
bank's share capital. The previous record was set by Japan's NTT in 1998, which
raised US$18.4bn.
There are worries about the llevel of investor interest, however. Last month,
Air China had to reduce its Shanghai IPO by nearly 40%. Hong Kong IPOs this
year have been strong, and previous Chinese banking IPOs have been successful.
China has been re-capitalizing and floating its banks ahead of the sector's
forced liberalization next year under the terms of its WTO entry. Altogether,
more than US$60bn has been injected into the top four banks in order to deal
with non-performing loans and Tier 1 capital weaknesses.
Merrill Lynch is lead underwriter for the ICBC float; other book-runners include
Credit Suisse Group, Deutsche Bank, China International Capital, ICEA Finance
Holdings, Shenyin & Wanguo Securities, and CITIC Securities.
ICBC is receiving special tax exemptions in order to attract investors. According
to a notice published by China's State Administration of Taxation ICBC will
re-evaluate all of its assets prior to the listing, but will not be liable for
corporate tax on profits earned from assets that have grown in value since their
purchase. In addition, any depreciation charges following the re-evaluation
of the assets will also be exempt from taxes.