The Hungarian Parliament’s Economic Committee approved the third draft of
the 2009 budget bill on Tuesday, agreeing to freeze wages and benefits for public
sector staff and remove the ‘13th month’ bonus, though they have largely ignored calls from the opposition to cut taxes.
The government withdrew the two original drafts from parliament after economic
assumptions were deemed over optimistic based on global economic developments
and replaced them with a third draft with a more pessimistic view. The third
bill is based on findings that point to Hungary’s economy facing a 1%
contraction next year.
The third ‘pessimistic’ version is expected to allow the government
to reduce the public sector deficit to 2.6% by the end of 2009, ahead of earlier
projections of 2.9% in the previous draft, just below the crucial EU guideline
of 3%.
Those to suffer most in the government’s struggle to combat
the national debt are people working in the public sector. The government plans
to introduce a cap on 13th month pension payments at HUF80,000, saving HUF14bn
(USD70.8m) and also announced that it will scrap the 13th
month salary, effectively the public sector's 'Christmas bonus'.
Wage increases in the private sector will be capped at 1.6% year on
year whilst the public sector will have their wages frozen this year, effectively
leading to an average 2.6% decline in wages.
Wage-related austerity measures and an expected 0.6% decrease in employment
will lead to a 3.7% contraction in household consumption. The predicted level of export growth has also been reduced, from 4.1% to 3.9%.
The government also proposed HUF35bn cuts for the Health Insurance Fund and
HUF192bn less funding for local governments. In terms of tax revenue, the Hungarian
Finance Ministry has announced that excise duty receipts will be HUF20bn less, corporate
tax and special company tax will drop HUF58bn and VAT HUF66bn.
The main opposition party Fidesz has renounced the draft and called for tax cuts to
spur growth. The party sees the solution in EUR5bn worth of tax cuts and EUR5bn
worth of SME subsidies from EU funds, in addition to spending cuts.