Hong Kong's technology-driven
Growth Enterprise Market (GEM), which on its launch a year ago
was hailed as the Asian equivalent of the Nasdaq stock exchange,
is floundering. Although launched amid high hopes and stratospheric
valuations, it has not been a huge success story. Rather, the
GEM has left many investors licking their wounds after the index
dropped a staggering 67 per cent since March.
Technology stocks
have come under immense pressure in the past year, not just in
Asia but worldwide. However, the GEM seems to have been hit harder
than most similar boards in Asia. This is because the GEM is dominated
by Internet start-ups and is short of semiconductor makers that
have helped to stem the losses on boards such as Singapore's Sesdaq.
There are 49 companies listed on the GEM and the majority of them
are based on the same model - business-to-consumer Internet portals
that rely on advertising revenue. Amongst these are tom.com, hkcyber.com,
and 36.com. But this business model has fallen seriously out of
favour and these companies are flailing big-time.
A disturbing 36
of the GEM's listed companies are now trading below their initial
public offering (IPO) price, including all seven of the companies
listed at the very start of the board's existence. Only 27 companies
were able to report profits as of October.
Part of the problem
is that investors, scared by the plunge in value of technology
stocks, are starting to once again embace companies with proven
business models, such as semiconductor makers. One unnamed analyst
at a Hong Kong brokerage said that most GEM-listed companies were
unlikely to break even in the next two to three years, adding:
'There is a global trend to pay closer attention to revenue generation.
Investors want to see real increases in earnings and real money.'
Nonetheless, as a
fund-raising venue, GEM is deemed a success. As of September 2000,
the GEM bourse had raised about US$1.83bn, compared with South
Korea's Kosdaq which raised about US$2.03bn over the same period.
Japan's second board raised US$861m. Moreover, most of the companies
are of the opinion that the GEM will stablise in time, in spite
of initial growing pains due to weak market sentiment and regulatory
inconsistencies.