BNP Prime Peregrine held a seminar on Hong Kong's GEM growth stock
market this week, but could not offer much encouragement to investors.
Of the 25 stocks
listed so far on GEM, only five are above their issue prices,
and the GEM index has under-performed the Hang Seng.
Timothy Sun, director
of Internet research at BNP Prime Peregrine, said that investors
had become much more selective, and instead of working on multiples
of revenue, were beginning to apply classical indicators such
as EBIT, cash flow, and the support of strong, committed shareholders
(what BOO.com looked for in vain!).
Meanwhile, the stock
exchange issued a consultation paper on GEM yesterday, proposing
a number of measures designed to encourage interest in the fledgling
market.
The proposals include
halving the required 2-year operating record to one year before
listing, increasing the permitted number of employee share options
to 30% from 10%, allowing share sales by founding management after
six months rather than two years, and, in response to complaints
from Internet companies listed on GEM, to allow the issue of new
shares during the first six months after listing for the purposes
of making acquisitions, provided that control of a company does
not change.
The stoxk exchange
had been intending to give case-by-case exemption from the six-month
issuance rule, but the Securities and Exchange Commission told
it to change the rules instead.
The relatively poor
performance by GEM so far has to be seen in context since it was
launched at the height of Internet fever: high-technology shares
have fallen dramatically in value in bourses around the world,
and GEM stocks have fared no worse than equivalent titles in other
high-tech exchanges. The Internet is here to stay, and once the
current shakeout has finished, GEM will probably be a better long-term
bet than the Hang Seng.