Hong Kong's real estate sector has experienced years of deflation in property
prices, and the SAR's continuing economic downturn seems to offer developers
little chance of any immediate relief. Shares of property companies have naturally
tended to mirror the sector's woes, particularly for the listed subsidiaries
of major property companies, many of which were floated on the back of just
one speculative building venture.
The government has attempted to offer incentives to the sector with tax changes,
but there is no sign yet that this is having an effect, with the price war between
major residential developers intensifying in recent days. This week Henderson
Land Development offered discounts of about 11% on flats at Metro Harbour View
in Tai Kok Tsui, while Cheung Kong has offered an even lower price on units
at its Banyan Garden estate.
With the market on its back, most of the smaller property subsidiaries are
trading at such a deep discount to net asset value that it must be tempting
for their owners to try to take them private or restructure them into larger,
more viable units, in anticipation of an eventual upturn in property prices.
Recently, it has seemed that this process may be beginning, with a restructuring
announced last week by New World Development, an offer this week from New Asia
Realty and Trust Company, a division of Wheelock, for its subsidiary, Realty
Development Corporation, and a privatisation bid by Henderson Land for its subsidiary,
Henderson Investment.
Not surprisingly, the minority shareholders who are invited to surrender their
lowly-rated paper in such deals are scarcely happy. Shares in Wheelock and its
subsidiary plunged yesterday when they resumed trading after a seven-day suspension.
New Asia shares fell 8.16% to HK$2.25, while Wheelock closed down 6.84% at HK$5.45.
Analysts pointed out that while the deal will only slightly enhance Wheelock's
net asset value - by less than 1.5% - net gearing would rise from about 38%
to more than 41%.
In the case of Henderson, minority shareholders Templeton Asset Management
and David Webb forced Henderson Land to raise its offer price by 3.4% to HK$7.60
per share; but after its AGM yesterday Henderson Land's vice-chairman Colin
Lam Ko-yin said the offer was fair, at a discount of about 30% to net asset
value, pointing out that other companies had made privatisation offers at up
to 80% below NAV. Minority shareholders will vote on the deal on January 2,
with 75% support required for the offer to go ahead.
The New World restructuring has also come in for flak, with investors in Pacific
Ports unhappy that their company is being made to buy heavily indebted New World
Infrastructure, taking it from a net cash position to a debt-to-equity ratio
of 73.8%. Parent New World Development says it is turning Pacific Ports, a small
and illiquid company, into one of Asia's leading infrastructure, ports and services
concerns, but analysts don't agree that the deal makes financial sense.