Regulators should stress test their systems to address the risks arising from
volatile capital flows, Hong Kong Chief Executive Donald Tsang has told a gathering
of global institutional investors, emphasising the need for prudent and effective
risk management and market transparency.
Opening the Asian Financial Forum on Friday, Tsang suggested that there are a number
of concerns for the region, including volatile capital flows and their potential
to destabilise a market, particularly an emerging market where infrastructure
is immature.
Other concerns include interest rate uncertainty or adjustments triggering
a reassessment of risks, possibly resulting in sudden capital flight; and the
uncertainty caused by the growing prominence of hedge funds and other largely
unregulated entities in the financial market, he observed.
"To address the risks arising from volatile capital flows, regulators
should stress test their systems to assess the impact on liquidity and pricing
arising from the unwinding of large positions. This should reveal how market
stability could be affected and help us prepare for any such shock," the
Chief Executive stated.
"The recent sub-prime mortgage problem and the associated liquidity crunch
highlighted the importance of prudent and effective risk management and market
transparency. Without the necessary transparency to enable the market to evaluate
risks, market operators will tend to assume a worst-case scenario and take unnecessary
safeguard action, usually aggravating rather than relieving the stress of the
crisis. So, there must be better access to reliable information for risk assessment,
stress testing and increased regulatory co-operation across jurisdictions,"
he added.
Tsang pointed out that as markets grow and products diversify, human capital
is needed to ensure they work properly.
"We need people with integrity to manage and regulate risks; who will
innovate to create new products and access new markets; and who have the necessary
experience and background to manage investment. These people do not grow on
trees. We will have to train and nourish them. In this I see a considerable
scope for co-operation among governments, regulators, market participants and
academia. Only through such concerted efforts can we hope to produce enough
talent to service the needs of the industry in Asia," he concluded.