Hong Kong's banks have posted a solid performance in the first half of 2003
despite the chaos wreaked by the SARS virus earlier in the year and the general
economic malaise which continues to pervade the territory.
According to a report in the FT, the Bank of East Asia saw its earnings rise
by 5% in the first half despite analysts predicting a slight decline in income.
Similarly, though Hang Seng Bank recorded a fall in earnings of 3.8%, this turned
out to be a much better performance than the 8% loss analysts were forecasting.
Whilst banking shares dropped sharply at the start of the year, these have
now recovered strongly having risen on average 35% from their April lows, outperforming
the Hang Seng index which rose 27% in the same period.
It is thought by many observers that an increased level of M&A activity is
a major cause for the industry's recovery in recent times with three major merger
and acquisition deals have taking place in the market recently. For example,
this week has seen Fubon Financial Holdings of Taiwan purchase a 55% stake in
International Bank of Asia.
Moreover, it seems that generally, analysts seem optimistic about the chances
of a sustained recovery in the sector taking place in the coming months. "We
have seen a first wave of recovery boosted by demand in loans," said Dominic
Chan, an analyst at CLSA according to the FT. "And I think we are slowly
positioning for the second one."