Wealthy investors are turning their backs on hedge funds at the fastest rate
in the industry's history, new data has shown.
According to the latest quarterly statistical report on the industry by Chicago-based
Hedge Fund Research (HFR), investors pulled out a record USD31 billion from
hedge funds in the three months to the end of September. However, the overall
loss for the hedge fund industry over the quarter is magnified to USD210bn once
fund losses are factored into the calculations. This is more than hedge fund
inflows for the whole of 2007.
According to HFR's measure, these losses and redemptions have caused total
assets under management by the hedge fund sector to shrink from USD1.93 trillion
to USD1.72 trillion.
Funds of hedge funds, which invest across a range of single hedge fund managers
to reduce risk for their clients, have also suffered at the hands of declining
investor confidence, with USD13.3bn pulled from these funds, reducing overall
FoHF assets to USD78bn.
Once lauded for their fleet-of-foot ability to profit from any market, whether
bear or bull, through their flexible strategies such as shorting equity markets,
hedge funds, like other money managers, have been caught out by the scale of
the credit crisis as one by one major banking institutions in the United States
and Europe toppled and governments pumped hundreds of billions into the system
to prevent a banking system collapse. However, many hedge funds have been heavily
exposed to the very debt toxin that has been pervading the financial system,
while the ban on uncovered short selling by many regulators, including the US
Securities and Exchange Commission, and the UK's Financial Services Authority,
has left many hedge funds with positions that they cannot liquidate.
The average hedge fund loss in the quarter through to the end of September
was 8.85%, HFR's study shows. Losses for the year are sitting at about 18%.
With optimism in short supply in the world's market places, HFR is predicting
that 2008 could be the worst year for hedge fund returns on record.
Nevertheless, hedge fund returns as measured by both the Greenwich Global Hedge
Fund Index ("GGHFI") and the Greenwich Composite Investable Index
("GI2") have shown that for many hedge fund investors, perhaps the
situation isn't quite as catastrophic as HFR's figures suggest.
Despite posting their greatest losses since August 1998 during the month of
September, these two indices significantly out-performed global equity indices
during the month. The GGHFI and GI2 posted declines of -4.85% and -5.87% on
the month, respectively, compared to global equity returns of -8.91% for the
S&P 500, -12.08% for the MSCI World Equity Index, and -13.02% for the FTSE
100. Year-to-date, the GGHFI and the GI2 have shed -8.85% and -8.82%, respectively,
against -19.29% for the S&P 500, -25.59% for the MSCI World Equity Index
and -24.07% for the FTSE 100.
"It was a perfect storm for both credit/equity markets and hedge funds
in September," observed Greenwich Alternative Investments CEO, Thomas Whelan.
"The already deflated values of financial firms provided the perfect trap
for value investors while government intervention limited the ability of hedge
funds to effectively mitigate their risk," he added.
Not surprisingly, Short Selling funds bucked the general trend, advancing 9.27%
on average. Meanwhile, data released by the Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund
Index shows that Managed Futures funds have also managed to escape the worst
of the carnage.
“September was a difficult month for hedge funds across strategies,
and the Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Index will finish down 6.55% for the
month.” Oliver Schupp, President of Credit Suisse Index Co., Inc.
“Convertible Arbitrage was the worst performing sector, finishing down
12.26%, while Managed Futures was down only slightly for the month, losing 0.57%.
Managed Futures continues to be the best performing sector, and is currently
up 6.70% year to date," he added.