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Continued Economic Growth Predicted In Liechtenstein
by Ulrika Lomas, for LawAndTax-News.com, Brussels

13 December 2004

The new Liechtenstein Business Cycle Research Institute (Konjunkturforschungsstelle Liechtenstein, or KOFL) earlier this month published its first business cycle analysis and economic forecast for 2005, and predicted that exports will be the driving force of predicted economic growth.

KOFL based its first analysis of the business cycle situation in the Principality of Liechtenstein on an overview of the international economic environment.

The Institute projected that the economic recovery begun in 2004 will continue in the coming year, albeit with a slightly weaker growth rate, and suggested that the good business cycle situation also sends positive signals for employment, which this year saw an increase of 1.3%. Based on this development and the estimates of entrepreneurs, KOFL predicted an employment increase of 1.2% for 2005.

According to the KOFL analysis, the main driver of economic growth has been, and will in 2005 continue to be the export industry. The Institute suggested that direct exports will increase significantly by 9.1% in the current year. However, due to flagging global economic dynamics, it forecast a reduction to 4.6% for 2005.

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