Catherine Pattillo, head of an International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff
mission to Grenada, last week issued a statement outlining the conclusions reached by the group.
She announced that: "An IMF mission visited Grenada during April 1-9 to conduct the first
review of the government's home-grown economic program that is supported by
the IMF's Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF)."
"The mission held constructive discussions with the Prime Minister, Deputy
Prime Minister, other government officials, and representatives of public enterprises
and the private sector. Discussions centered on recent economic developments,
fiscal performance, progress with the government's structural and economic reform
agenda, and a policy framework for 2008."
Ms Pattillo continued:
"Economic growth rebounded in 2007, driven by buoyant tourism and construction
activity. Looking ahead, growth is expected to decelerate somewhat in 2008,
reflecting a small decline in tourism receipts - in part due to a projected slowdown
in the global economy - and a cooling off of construction activity."
"The inflation
pressures that emerged in 2007 as a result of the pass-through of rising international
fuel and food prices are likely to ease to some extent during the course of
2008."
The IMF official went on to stated that: "The Grenadian authorities have made significant progress in recent years
on fiscal measures, including by introducing the National Reconstruction Levy,
adopting a flexible fuel pricing mechanism, enhancing efforts to collect tax
arrears, and most recently, reaching agreement with public sector workers, except
for teachers, on wages for 2006-08."
However, Pattillo was quick to point out areas of weakness,
explaining that:
"Nevertheless, the budgetary situation remains challenging as Grenada's
public debt level remains high. The latter reduces the country's flexibility
to respond to future shocks, such as natural disasters, and therefore the authorities
intend to place debt firmly on a downward trajectory through a determined effort,
particularly at fiscal consolidation."
"This effort will begin in 2008 by targeting a budget deficit that can
be financed in a sustainable manner, while accommodating expenditures to address
pressing development needs. To this end, the authorities have decided to slow
the pace of capital expenditure unless additional resources become available,
and to reduce expenditure arrears."
"The government's ambitious divestment program, including the plan to
sell two-thirds of its shares in Cable and Wireless, would provide finance for
the budget and for paying down some expensive debt."
"The authorities have made important advances with structural reforms,
including a plan for customs reform, training in priorization and implementation
of the public sector investment program, improved transparency regarding tax
concessions, and steps toward improved building standards."
"They remain committed
to continuing with their reform agenda, with emphasis on further strengthening
these areas, improving the investment and business climate, and reforming the
regime for tax concessions in 2008," Pattillo continued, going on to explain
the range of methods being used to combat potentially problematic
areas:
"The authorities have taken a number of decisive actions in the financial
sector. The appointment of a receiver for Capital Bank International Ltd, which
was highly illiquid and unable to honor deposit withdrawals, was a courageous
and welcome step."
"Grenada was the first ECCU member to establish a single supervisory authority
for nonbank financial institution - Grenada Authority for the Regulation of Financial
Institutions (GARFIN)."
"GARFIN is making progress in supervising credit unions,
and following recent amendment of the GARFIN Act, setting out a framework for
regulating and supervising insurance companies. GARFIN has appropriately warned
investors to seek advice only from licensed institutions and to ensure they
have full information about investment products, entities, and persons with
whom they invest."
Concluding, Ms Pattillo observed that:
"Overall, the authorities are making credible efforts to implement the
financial and structural reform program supported by the PRGF arrangement."
"Upon
return to Washington DC, the IMF mission will prepare the necessary documentation
for the IMF's Executive Board to consider Grenada's request to complete the
first review under the PRGF in June 2008. The IMF will continue to work closely
with the authorities to assist them in the implementation of their program."
"The mission thanks the Grenadian government officials for their close
cooperation and looks forward to a continued constructive dialogue on the economic
challenges facing Grenada."