The opening day of the 17th Chinese Communist Party national congress in Beijing
this week saw plenty of support for Hong Kong from Chinese leaders, including
a surprising reaffirmation of Beijing's interest in the SAR's stock market as
a listing destination for mainland companies.
President Hu Jintao promised continued support for Hong Kong and Shanghai,
but warned the West not to meddle in their affairs - by which he presumably
meant for the West not to continue to press for increased democracy in Hong
Kong.
Meanwhile, Chairman of the State Assets Supervision and Administration Commission
Li Rongrong told reporters that Chinese companies would still be encouraged
to list in Hong Kong, but that the market needed to 'improve' itself. 'We are
continuing the arrangement for companies to be listed in Hong Kong,' he said,
adding: 'We only encourage them. The ultimate decision lies with the companies.'
Li may have meant that the 'red-chip' market should somehow be opened to Chinese
investors. Red-chips (or H-shares) are companies which incorporate and list
outside China, and there have been complaints from Beijing about the exclusion
of mainland investors from such stocks.
Li said he thought that the red-chip problem would be resolved in the near
future.
Despite some volatility, Hong Kong's share index the Hang Seng has been standing
at around 28,000 recently. That's up 40% this year. And just a few years ago,
the Hang Seng was languishing at around 11,000. But it could have gone much
higher if the mainland had not discouraged additional H-share listings.
A year ago, Hong Kong seemed set fair to reap a major crop of Chinese IPOs
in 2007, but the reality has been that new share issues on the mainland will
top US$100bn this year (25% of the world's total) while Hong Kong has pulled
in just US$6bn so far.
Bizzarely, the mainland is said to have been buying shares in HKEx at the same
time as leaning on major companies to list in Shanghai rather than in Hong Kong.
Beijing, it seems, doesn't want Hong Kong to become too powerful; but at the
same time it knows Hong Kong can't be kept down.
Chinese officials deny, meanwhile, that they have been putting money into Hong
Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEx), which operates the territory's stock exchange,
although Hong Kong insiders said there unmistakable signs that it was happening.
They believe that newly-formed state investment company CIC, which has been
given $200bn to play with by Beijing, will plough much of this money into Hong
Kong assets.