Investors are set to shift more than $1 trillion into Far Eastern banking centres
such as Hong Kong and Singapore from Europe as EU governments grow increasingly
intolerant of tax avoidance and investors look to cash in on the Asian economic
boom, according to a report by the International Herald Tribune.
The European Savings Tax Directive, the EU's latest effort to crack down on
tax evasion among its citizens, is thought to be a major factor behind a substantial
increase in money flows to areas where the directive cannot reach, most notably
Asian financial centres.
The Directive, which came into force on 1st July this year, applies to certain
types of income from savings if paid to individuals. In most EU countries, such
income is reported to the investor's home tax authority, but in Luxembourg,
Switzerland, Jersey, Guernsey, the IOM and some other jurisdictions, there is
a withholding tax of 15% (20% from 2008).
As expected, wealthy investors have already begun to shift their assets around
to circumvent the EU's Savings Tax Directive: in August alone nearly EUR7 billion
poured out of Swiss accounts into Luxembourg Sicav II bonds, which are outside
the scope of the Directive.
But according to Roman Scott, director of the Boston Consulting Group in Singapore,
the EU tax directive could cause EUR1 trillion ($1.2 trillion) to flow out of
Luxembourg and Switzerland alone, with a "significant" amount
of this finding its way to safe Asian havens like Hong Kong and Singapore.
Scott went on to observe in the IHT that the directive had caused a "psychological
shift" in the minds of investors that the European Union was overtly following
a zero tolerance approach on the issue of tax avoidance.
However, others argue that, while the savings tax directive is likely to be a contributory
factor in the outflow of money from Europe, investors are choosing to put their
money into increasingly sophisticated Asian wealth management firms because
they are best positioned to profit from the growth opportunities that the region
is offering.
"Asia is an excellent investment destination right now, which is the main
reason why there is a great deal more interest from European clients,"
Renato de Guzman, the chief executive of ING Asia Private Bank, was quoted as
observing by the IHT.
Assets under management in Asia are set to grow by 21% on average over the
next three years, well above a world average growth rate of 13%, according to
a survey of chief executives of Asian wealth management firms by business services
firm PricewaterhouseCoopers.